Don's Trading Desk

Don's Trading Desk

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Most traders are glued to their screens right now.

Most traders are glued to their screens right now.

In a VIX +30 market, the biggest moves happen overnight.

Don Kaufman
Don Kaufman
You are buying puts because the market is falling. The math says you need to be right 75% of the time just to break even.

You are buying puts because the market is falling. The math says you need to be right 75% of the time just to break even.

Naked puts in a high volatility market feel like the obvious trade. Here is the math that destroys that idea.

Don Kaufman
Don Kaufman
Eleven Consecutive Weeks Inside the Expected Move. You See Calm. I See a Trap.

Eleven Consecutive Weeks Inside the Expected Move. You See Calm. I See a Trap.

The S&P has not breached its expected move in eleven weeks. VIX is sitting at 28. This morning I came in completely undecided for the first time in a long time. Here is why that matters.

Don Kaufman
Don Kaufman
Three trades I just walked through on Schwab — one's falling apart, one's about to snap, one can't catch a bid

Three trades I just walked through on Schwab — one's falling apart, one's about to snap, one can't catch a bid

Volatility is off the charts. I'm not picking sides. I'm picking off setups where the structure is screaming. Just wrapped my segment — walking through all three plays right now.

Don Kaufman
Don Kaufman
Stop Calling It Bullish Or Bearish

Stop Calling It Bullish Or Bearish

There is no bullish. There is no bearish. There is only volatility. And once you understand that, everything changes.

Don Kaufman
Don Kaufman
Live in 1 hour: the 0dte trade everyone's missing

Live in 1 hour: the 0dte trade everyone's missing

While everyone's stuck in analysis paralysis, Don's trading a different game...

Don Kaufman
Don Kaufman
The weekly expected move was $188.88. The market tested both edges this morning.

The weekly expected move was $188.88. The market tested both edges this morning.

The sell-off was not a crash. The rally was not a surprise. The options market priced both in before Monday opened.

Don Kaufman
Don Kaufman
Options are expensive. And the real moves are happening while you sleep.

Options are expensive. And the real moves are happening while you sleep.

High fear. Low follow-through intraday. Every macro catalyst landing after hours. Here is the only strategy built for this environment.

Don Kaufman
Don Kaufman
I put on a Tesla butterfly Thursday afternoon for $0.50. Closed it on Friday for $1.18.

I put on a Tesla butterfly Thursday afternoon for $0.50. Closed it on Friday for $1.18.

136% in one day. Before most traders finished their coffee. Here's exactly how it works.

Don Kaufman
Don Kaufman
$5.7 trillion expires today. Not in the morning. At the close.

$5.7 trillion expires today. Not in the morning. At the close.

It wasn't the Fed. It wasn't Iran. Here's what was actually running the tape today.

Don Kaufman
Don Kaufman
Everything you think you know about zero DTE is wrong.

Everything you think you know about zero DTE is wrong.

Most traders are fighting intraday noise all day. The biggest zero DTE moves were already over before the market opened. I figured out how to be on the right side of that — and I just walked through the whole thing live.

Don Kaufman
Don Kaufman
Live at 1pm ET: The one number that matters more than any chart

Live at 1pm ET: The one number that matters more than any chart

I'm going LIVE

Don Kaufman
Don Kaufman
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