3 New Trades I Gave Schwab

The trade that has me shocked after 30 years

The market is pricing in peace for the 43rd time, plausibly.

PPI just printed the hottest number since 2022 and the tape barely moved. Half a percent here, a quarter percent there. Don't worry. Tech can cure everything.

I get nervous when it's this quiet on data that hot.

That's the trade.

I sat down with Schwab's Big 3 this morning and walked through three defined-risk spreads I'm working right now, including the $50%-year-to-date name I'm willing to step in front of with a $6 debit. Here's what's inside the replay:

→ Why I'm bearish on a 50%-YTD industrial that's now trading like a tech stock with a 45 P/E — and the $20-wide July put spread I'm using to clip $14 of upside on a stock that needs to fall $80 before August earnings…

→ The gold trade I'm taking after the most surprising session I've seen on a hot inflation print in 30 years — and the $2.25 July call spread that needs less than a 10% move to pay out…

→ The slow-bleed pullback trade on a name that just rejected a $56 billion offer from a meme-stock favorite — and the $1.30 June put spread targeting the exact $100 level where I think this thing sits for a while…

→ The one thing about today's market reaction to PPI that has me on the edge of my seat after 30 years in this business…

→ PLUS the company that "basically put me through college as a power seller" — and why I think the drama on this one is finally over…

To your success, 

Don Kaufman