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3 Trades I just broke down on Schwab
One's about to snap, one can't hold a bounce, one's losing its edge

I just got off air with Schwab, and I had to get this out immediately.
The market's in full volatility mode right now.
Up 300. Down 400. Back up 200.
And here's the thing — in this kind of environment, you don't need to be bullish or bearish.
You just need to be positioned.
I walked through three setups on air today that are setting up for violent moves — regardless of where the broader market goes.
Let me give you the breakdown:
Setup #1: The Four-Week Bloodbath That's About to Bounce (Then Roll Over)
This one's been absolutely pummeled.
Four consecutive weeks of unrelenting selling. No bounces. No relief rallies. Just straight down.
And that's exactly why I'm interested.
Here's what nobody's talking about: this thing is so oversold right now that a snapback is almost guaranteed in the near term.
But I'm not playing the bounce.
I'm playing the fade after the bounce.
Because the trend here is crystal clear. This isn't a reversal — it's a breather before the next leg down.
Yesterday's rally was perfectly correlated with the S&P surge. Every single stock moved up — including this one.
And I'm using that rip as an opportunity to position for the next leg lower.
Shallow duration. Defined risk. Positioned for the continuation.
If you see this one bounce over the next few days, don't chase it. Fade it.
Setup #2: The Sector That's Up 40% for All the Wrong Reasons
This sector has been on an absolute tear.
Up nearly 40% year-to-date. One of the only sectors that ended March in positive territory.
But here's the problem: it's all geopolitical risk premium. And the second people start hearing about $4+ gas and cutting back on driving...
Demand destruction kicks in.
That's the phrase everyone's about to start using. And when demand destruction becomes the narrative, this sector doesn't just pullback — it collapses.
I'm not waiting for the news cycle to catch up. I'm positioning for the rollover right now.
Near-term expiration. At-the-money spread. Looking for the quick drop as reality sets in.
This one's already falling as I type this.
Setup #3: The Tech Giant That's Losing Its Cool
This one hurts to say.
But the company that built the entire ecosystem... is losing the thing that made it unstoppable in the first place.
Its cool.
My own 13-year-old asked if he could switch to Android. My own kid.
And if Gen Alpha is willing to be the green bubble in somebody's phone... you've got a structural problem.
The tech is lagging. The AI integration is embarrassing. The innovation pipeline is dry.
And if it breaks through one key level — the 250 mark — I think it's going to unravel fast.
I'm giving myself duration on this one. June expiration. Way out-of-the-money put spread.
This isn't a short-term trade. This is a structural thesis.
And if that level breaks, the flood gates open.
The volatility is here. The setups are here. And I just walked through all three on Schwab.
I'm not guessing at direction. I'm identifying setups where the structure is obvious once you strip away the noise.
A four-week selloff that's due for a bounce? That's not a buy. That's a fade setup.
A sector up 40% on geopolitical fear while demand is about to crater? That's not momentum. That's a rollover waiting to happen.
A tech giant that can't innovate its way out of a paper bag and kids are abandoning the platform? That's not a dip to buy. That's a break waiting to collapse.
Don't blame the messenger.
To your success,
Don Kaufman
P.S. This morning I closed TSLA for 120% and AVGO for 101% Both took 1 day to close. Still not sure about Superfly? Check this out.