Is The Volatility Beast Euthanized?

(my answer inside)

Author

Don Kaufman
August 15, 2024

Don Kaufman here.

Let me tell you, this market's got everyone thinking the volatility beast is dead and buried.

Look, I get it.

The retail sales numbers came in hot, jobless claims dropped, and Walmart's knocking it out of the park.

The S&P 500's up 8% from that August 5th bottom, and the Dow just jumped 554 points.

It's a regular party out there!

The SPX has overshot and is now well above the upper edge of the expected range this week, which is 5442.82.

But let me tell you something - all is well so long as data stays decent and companies like Walmart are making money.

That's the key right there.

We've shifted from worrying about inflation to obsessing over economic health, just like I said we would.

And yeah, today's data is making everyone feel warm and fuzzy.

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But here's the thing - volatility still stalks this market in the form of geopolitical and headline risks.

You think that beast is euthanized?

Think again.

It's just taking a little nap, waiting to pounce when you least expect it.

So yeah, enjoy the rally.

It's nice to see some green on the screen. But don't get complacent. Keep your volatility helmet on, because this ride ain't over yet. The volatility beast might be snoozing, but trust me, it's got one eye open.

To your success,

Don Kaufman