WARNING: The market's eerie silence (before the plunge?)

New Market Video Update

Author

Don Kaufman
May 14, 2025

Don Kaufman here. 

An odd hush has fallen over the markets today.

After Monday's explosion higher and Tuesday's follow-through squeeze, we're witnessing an almost supernatural stillness - like the marketplace is collectively holding its breath, waiting for the next tweet to send us 200 points in either direction.

Here's what's really happening beneath the surface:

  • Monday's "unprecedented" move? Pure market pundit nonsense. We literally did EXACTLY what the expected move predicted - hitting the upper edge perfectly before Tuesday's squeeze continuation.

  • Where does the S&P go next? I'd be shocked if we didn't pull back to the 5800 level (the upper edge of the expected move) - that's about an 85-point pullback from current levels.

  • The squeeze machines are humming - Meta, Nvidia, and even Microsoft caught in feedback loops where retail call-buying forces market makers to buy stock, driving prices even higher.

  • Google's getting overlooked - I just put on a bullish Catapult position today, targeting Google above 190 within three months. While the monsters of tech are fully priced, GOOG still has room to run.

  • WARNING: This market is destabilized - One tweet about China having "issues with deal points" could send the S&P plunging 300 handles. That's why I'm playing both sides with Catapult trades.

  • Today's volume? Non-existent - Just 975,000 contracts. That's crazy light as we navigate mid-May with stellar gains already in the books.

The Catapult strategy continues to catch these wild swings perfectly. We caught the downside with Wells Fargo and XLF, then pivoted to catch the upside with AMD and some others.

To your success,
Don Kaufman

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